Given the extraordinary impact of COVID-19 on the world economy, a global recession is now very likely, if not a certainty. According to Fitch: “83% of sector and structured finance asset performance outlooks are negative, up from 21% at the beginning of 2020. There are no positive sector outlooks.” Among its many effects, this broad multi-sector downtown will severely impact the hundreds of billions of dollars of Collateralized Loan Obligations (“CLOs”) that have been issued in recent years. Wide-ranging, cross-sector defaults are expected for the loans that collateralize CLOs, and extreme loss severity is expected when those defaults occur. CLO structures may therefore experience unprecedented losses that extend toward even the more senior and risk-remote tranches. These losses are likely to spawn various types of CLO-related litigation. This memo provides background on the CLO market, CLO structure, and the types of disputes that can be expected to arise as losses mount.
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Daniel L. Brockett
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Phone: +1 212 849 7345
Jonathan E. Pickhardt
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Phone: +1 212 849 7115
Sascha N. Rand
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Phone: +1 212 849 7175
Manisha M. Sheth
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Phone: +1 212-849-7441
Ellison Ward Merkel
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Phone: +1 212-849-7362
Tom J. Lepri
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Phone: +1 212 849 7275
Toby E. Futter
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Phone: +1 212 849 7431
Blair Adams
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Phone: +1 212 849 7615
Emily Kapur
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Phone: +1 650 801 5122
John B. Quinn
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Phone: +1 213-443-3200
Harry A. Olivar Jr.
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Phone: +1 213-443-3176
R. Brian Timmons
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Phone: +1 213-443-3221
Molly Stephens
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Phone: +1 213-443-3635
Richard East
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Phone: +44 20 7653 2222
Yasseen Gailani
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Phone: +44 20 7653 2021
Jonathan C. Bunge
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Phone: +1 312-705-7476
Harvey J. Wolkoff
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Phone: +1 617-712-7108
Michael Lyle
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Phone: +1 202-538-8166
Karl Stern
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Phone: +1 713-221-7171